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Conflict, War & OSINT Intelligence News

Real-time aggregation — ISW • Bellingcat • The Warzone • War on the Rocks • BBC • Al Jazeera • Google News

Updated: April 15, 2026 • 09:57 UTC  •  244 articles

Sergeant Major Rank
OSINT Estimated DEFCON — defconlevel.com
DEFCON 2 — FAST PACE
Forces ready in 6 hours
1
COCKED PISTOL
2
FAST PACE
3
ROUND HOUSE
4
DOUBLE TAKE
5
FADE OUT
⚠ OSINT estimate only — official DEFCON status is classified
Sergeant Major Rank
🔐 CISA Cyber Advisories
CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities to Catalog
21h ago
CISA Adds Seven Known Exploited Vulnerabilities to Catalog
1d ago
Contemporary Controls BASC 20T
5d ago
GPL Odorizers GPL750
5d ago
CISA Adds One Known Exploited Vulnerability to Catalog
6d ago
Mitsubishi Electric GENESIS64 and ICONICS Suite products
7d ago
cisa.gov →
⛈ NWS Watches & Warnings
Winter Storm WarningSevereYellowstone National Park; Absaroka Mountains; Teton and Gro
Winter Storm WarningSevereWind River Mountains West; Wind River Mountains East
Winter Storm WarningSevereAbsaroka/Beartooth Mountains
Winter Storm WarningSevereCrazy Mountains
High Wind WarningSevereMadison River Valley; Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6
Special Marine WarningSevereSt Joseph to South Haven MI; South Haven to Holland MI; Lake
Flood WarningSevereLake, IL
Flood WarningSevereBrown, WI; Door, WI; Kewaunee, WI; Manitowoc, WI; Oconto, WI
Flood WarningSevereMarinette, WI
Flood WarningSevereMenominee, MI; Marinette, WI
Heavy Freezing Spray WarningSevereSouth Side of Saint Lawrence Island out to 15 NM
Flood WarningSevereGrand Traverse, MI
Flood WarningSevereIngham, MI
Heavy Freezing Spray WarningSevereSouth Side of Saint Lawrence Island out to 15 NM
weather.gov →
☢ Nuclear & Radiation
Nuclear weapon | History, Facts, Types, Countries, Blast Radius, & Effects - Britannica
22d ago
Russia hits Ukraine with nuclear-capable missile near EU, NATO border - politico.eu
96d ago
Would NJ be safe in nuclear war? See fallout map, 'dangerous' spots - Asbury Park Press
40d ago
Fallout maps show how an attack on nuclear silos would impact US cities - USA Today
100d ago
How safe is DC, VA, MD during nuclear war? Fallout map, 'targets' - Delawareonline.com
41d ago
No radiation measured in Norway after Putin's Burevestnik missile allegedly flew 14,000 km - The Barents Observer
171d ago
EPA RadNet →
🌍 Live Conflict Map — liveuamap.com
ISW Bellingcat The Warzone War on the Rocks BBC World Al Jazeera Google News
War on the Rocks 1h ago

Why Booz Allen is Partnering With One of the World’s Most Important VC Firms

What happens when one of the defense industry’s leading technology integrators partners with one of Silicon Valley’s most influential venture firms? Bryce Pippert of Booz Allen and Matt Cronin of Andreessen Horowitz join Ryan to unpack their new partnership and discuss how the United States is trying to tap into the tech ecosystem. The conversation gets into venture capital’s growing role in natio

War on the Rocks 2h ago

Silent Killers, Not Signals: Why States Use Poison in Assassinations

The recent news that Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny’s death was caused by epibatidine — a South American frog toxin — has reignited interest in state use of poisons and toxins in assassinations. Although state use of such compounds has a long history, the erosion of the norms prohibiting assassinations and chemical and biological weapons increases the likelihood of future assassinations

War on the Rocks 2h ago

The Demise of Strategic Planning in Israel

What happens when a country at war stops seriously debating its own strategy and goals?In Israel today, that scenario is no longer theoretical. In the aftermath of Hamas’ surprise attack on Oct. 7, 2023, and the subsequent conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, Israel’s strategic decision-making ecosystem has been progressively undermined by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his political assoc

The Warzone 3h ago

B-21 Raider Seen From Above For The First Time

A new image of aerial refueling trials gives us our first full overhead look at the B-21 and a glimpse at some very interesting features. The post B-21 Raider Seen From Above For The First Time appeared first on The War Zone .

The Warzone 12h ago

Navy Turns Around Ships Trying To Run Blockade Of Iran (Updated)

Meanwhile, CENTCOM says the blockade is working as communications between Washington and Tehran continue in hopes of more in-person talks. The post Navy Turns Around Ships Trying To Run Blockade Of Iran (Updated) appeared first on The War Zone .

War on the Rocks 14h ago

Hungary Turns a New Page

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat in a parliamentary election on April 12, ending his 16 years in power, after his Fidesz party lost its majority in parliament. The center-right Tisza party, led by Péter Magyar, won and is projected to have a two-thirds supermajority. Orbán has been a prominent right-wing populist, with close ties to the Trump administration in Washington and w

War on the Rocks 1d ago

The Bromine Chokepoint: How Strife in the Middle East Could Halt Production of the World’s Memory Chips

The U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, now in an unstable ceasefire, has exposed a structural failure in the global semiconductor memory supply chain, and it is not the one analysts seem to be tracking. The story receiving attention is helium: Qatar’s Ras Laffan facility went offline, a 45-day inventory clock started running, and spot prices doubled within days. The story receiving almost no attention is

War on the Rocks 1d ago

Tactical Success, Strategic Failure? Washington Walks the Path to Defeat in Iran

Six weeks after the United States and Israel launched a war against Iran, what was the political object? Not the military means and objectives — those are the hammer, not the nail. The nail is: What condition in the world, what durable change in Iran’s relationship to the United States and its neighbors, were these strikes meant to produce? That question was never answered, because it was never se

War on the Rocks 1d ago

Strategy Without Hubris: How China Rose by Managing America’s Reaction

Oriana Skylar Mastro, Upstart: How China Became a Great Power (Oxford University Press, 2024)Why didn’t China’s rise trigger containment sooner?For three decades, Beijing’s economic weight expanded dramatically, its military modernized at speed, and its diplomatic footprint widened across every region. Structural theories of power transition would lead us to expect sharper and earlier confrontatio

The Warzone 1d ago

Naval Blockade Of Iran Now In Full Effect (Updated)

Maritime restrictions have been put in place by the U.S. along the entire Iranian coastline, not just the Strait of Hormuz. The post Naval Blockade Of Iran Now In Full Effect (Updated) appeared first on The War Zone .

War on the Rocks 1d ago

Bankova, Budapest, and Bunnies

Welcome to The Ukraine Compass, a weekly digest of Ukrainian commentary and analysis from across the political spectrum only for War on the Rocks members. Each Monday, we bring you a curated selection of articles from Ukrainian media offering insight into how Ukrainians themselves debate the issues shaping their country.American coverage often narrows the view to the battlefield — these pieces wid

War on the Rocks 2d ago

Can a New Bridge Finally Save the Pentagon’s Best Ideas?

In May 1953, in the desert west of Idaho Falls, a crew powered up the world’s first naval nuclear propulsion system. What made it possible was daringly aggressive innovation: Adm. Hyman Rickover insisted that the Submarine Thermal Reactor Mark I be built to exactly the specifications that would later be required inside a submarine. This meant hundreds of pounds of simulated sea pressure per square

War on the Rocks 2d ago

A Closed Strait of Hormuz Risks a Global Food Security Crisis

The war in Iran has done more than rattle energy markets. It has exposed an ordinary farm input as a strategic commodity. Urea is a concentrated, easy-to-transport nitrogen fertilizer that increases the yields of many crops, especially staple grains like corn, rice, and wheat. These small white pellets are essentially natural gas in solid form, bound with nitrogen fixed from the atmosphere through

War on the Rocks 2d ago

Regime Change in Iran, Underpants Gnomes, and the Phase II Problem

U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu started the Iran war off with a bang — not just the bang of bombs and rockets, but the rhetorical bang of declaring their intent to spur the Iranian people to overthrow the Islamic Republic.As a ceasefire pauses more than a month of combat, and failed talks lead to a planned blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, what has happene

The Warzone 2d ago

Carrier Tracker As of April 12, 2026

Trump orders U.S. Navy to blockade Strait of Hormuz as a third carrier strike group steams towards the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The post Carrier Tracker As of April 12, 2026 appeared first on The War Zone .

The Warzone 4d ago

Operation Epic Fury U.S. Aircraft Losses Visualized

Here are all the known American aircraft losses during the nearly six week-long war with Iran. The post Operation Epic Fury U.S. Aircraft Losses Visualized appeared first on The War Zone .

The Warzone 4d ago

Bahrain First To Claim F-16 Block 70 Air-To-Air Kills

The Bahraini advanced F-16 shot down two Iranian drones during the conflict in the Middle East earlier this month. The post Bahrain First To Claim F-16 Block 70 Air-To-Air Kills appeared first on The War Zone .

War on the Rocks 5d ago

The Future Soldier Loadout: Smarter Gear or Dead Weight?

The tech soldiers carry will shape their performance in combat, missions, safety, and health. If you care about any of those things, you will love this episode. The next generation of American soldiers will operate with systems that blur the line between human and machine, but that future is still being worked out in real time. In this episode, three former servicemembers turned industry leaders l

War on the Rocks 5d ago

Disperse to Survive: The Logic of French Forward Deterrence

In his long-awaited nuclear deterrence speech, French President Emmanuel Macron laid out his new doctrine of “forward deterrence” (dissuasion avancée) and — for the first time in history — offered to deploy the French Strategic Air Forces to European countries. “In the same way that our strategic submarines dilute naturally in the oceans,” the French president said, “our strategic air forces will

War on the Rocks 5d ago

Iran’s Other Front: The War Over the Internet

For a long time, the Iranian government has treated free internet access as a privilege that is extended by the state to those willing to carry its message and withheld from everyone else. Around four hours after Israeli and American strikes began, internet traffic collapsed by 98 percent — a near-total blackout. Iran’s communications infrastructure was deliberately dismantled by the government an

The Warzone 5d ago

Iran Ceasefire Hangs In Balance As Israel Bombards Lebanon (Updated)

Energy prices are climbing amid concerns that shipping through the strait remains minimal even after the U.S.‑Iran ceasefire announcement. The post Iran Ceasefire Hangs In Balance As Israel Bombards Lebanon (Updated) appeared first on The War Zone .

War on the Rocks 5d ago

Update from the Battlefield: Drones, Distance, and Diminishing Returns for Russia

Michael Kofman joins Ryan to unpack the current state of the Russo-Ukrainian War after his recent trip to the front. They examine how drone warfare has transformed the battlefield into a dispersed contest over a vast kill zone, why Russian infiltration tactics have failed to produce meaningful gains, and how Ukraine is working to close gaps in its strike capabilities. They also explore the growing

Bellingcat 5d ago

‘Snoopy’, ‘Adolf’ and ‘Password’: The Hungarian Government Passwords Exposed Online

Almost 800 Hungarian government email addresses and associated passwords are circulating online, revealing basic vulnerabilities in the security protocols of ministries involved in classified and sensitive work. A Bellingcat analysis of breach data shows that 12 out of the government’s 13 ministries have been affected, which in some cases have exposed the confidential information of […] The post ‘

War on the Rocks 6d ago

What is Strategic Rivalry? Why Should We Care?

The states most likely to draw America into its next major crisis or war are not unknowns. They are the usual suspects: The same handful of states that have threatened the United States repeatedly across decades. Interstate rivals have caused roughly 80 percent of history’s wars and the odds of any given rivalry ending peacefully are little better than a coin toss. Yet America’s key strategy docum

War on the Rocks 6d ago

Iran’s Asymmetric Counterair Campaign: Attacking the U.S. Air Force’s Nests and Eggs

On March 27, Iranian drones and missiles struck Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, destroying an E-3 Sentry, an airborne command center for U.S. operations in the region, and damaging multiple KC-135 tankers. It was not the first strike. Earlier in the month, an Iranian attack had already damaged five KC-135s at the same base. In the history of these aircraft, no enemy had ever achieved such

War on the Rocks 6d ago

How NATO’s Air Defense Future Is Unfolding

In 2024, Shaan Shaikh wrote, “Three Visions for NATO Air and Missile Defense,” where he laid out three potential scenarios NATO could take in the next few years to further its air and missile defense capabilities. Two years later, amidst alliance tensions and ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, we asked Shaan to revisit his arguments. Image: Sgt. Mariah Gonzalez via DVIDSIn your 2024

War on the Rocks 7d ago

How This Precision Weapon Reengineered Modern War

This exclusive Cogs of War interview is with Jeffrey E. Stern, an award-winning journalist and author of the newly released The Warhead: The Quest to Build the Perfect Weapon in the Age of Modern Warfare, which details the development of Paveway, the precision-guided bomb. We asked him to share his thoughts on the bomb’s history and its role in air campaigns, and the relationship between governmen

War on the Rocks 7d ago

The Campaign Ends at the Breach: Lessons from Ukraine on Why Armies Fail

Somewhere behind the Novodarivka breach point in June 2023, Ukrainian armored formations sat staged and ready. The ammunition was there. The fuel was there. The original concept of operations called for 12 brigades to push through roughly 30 kilometers of frontage, isolate Tokmak within days, and drive south before Russian forces could consolidate. They never moved. The engineers could not open th

Bellingcat 7d ago

When Satellite Imagery Goes Dark: New Tool Shows Damage in Iran and the Gulf

Access to open source visuals of the current Iran conflict, which has spread to many parts of the Middle East, continues to be sporadic. Videos and photos from within Iran trickle out on social media as the Iranian internet blackout hinders the flow of digital communication.  In past conflicts, satellite imagery has provided a vital […] The post When Satellite Imagery Goes Dark: New Tool Shows Dam

Bellingcat 12d ago

The War You’re Not Allowed to See: How the UAE Rewrites the Story of Iranian Strikes

Bellingcat has identified several high-profile incidents where authorities in the United Arab Emirates have downplayed damage, mischaracterised interceptions and in some instances not acknowledged successful Iranian drone strikes on the country. A review of official statements shows that the public account does not always align with what can be observed through open sources. This comes […] The pos

Bellingcat 13d ago

Croatia’s Football Team Signed Deal With Gambling Sponsor Whose Rep Used Fake Name

This article is the result of a collaboration with Josimar. You can find Josimar’s corresponding piece here. A European academic used a false name to represent an opaque Asian-facing bookmaker that is sponsoring Croatia’s national football team in the run up to the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Croatia’s national governing body of football, the Croatian […] The post Croatia’s Football Team Signed Deal With

Bellingcat 14d ago

How India’s Ruling Party is Using AI to Boost Hate Speech in States Near Bangladesh

The video posted by a state branch of India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) showed Assam chief minister Himanta Biswa Sarma shooting an image of two men in Muslim skull caps. “Foreigner-free Assam”, read one caption across the video. “Why did you not go to Pakistan?” said another.  One of the men in the photo […] The post How India’s Ruling Party is Using AI to Boost Hate Speech in States Ne

Bellingcat 18d ago

Two Waves of Bombing: New Videos Reveal Further Details About Iran School Strike

Bellingcat has geolocated and verified two new videos showing the deadly strikes that hit an Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) compound as well as an adjacent school in the city of Minab in late February. The new videos were released by Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and show multiple missiles hitting the complex.  One of […] The post Two Waves of Bombing: New Videos Reveal Further Deta

Bellingcat 19d ago

Evidence Points to US Scattering Mines over Iranian Village

The US appears to have deployed the Gator Scatterable Mine system over Kafari, a village near Shiraz, in southern Iran overnight. Several people were killed according to Iranian media.  Three experts told Bellingcat the munitions appeared to be air-delivered US-made Gator anti-tank mines.  The US is the only participant in the Iran war known to […] The post Evidence Points to US Scattering Mines o

Bellingcat 21d ago

Munition Remnants Pictured at Site of Deadly Chad Strike Match Weapon Previously Used by Sudan’s RSF

Munition remnants pictured at the site of a strike that killed at least 17 people in the town of Tiné, Chad, last week appear to match a weapon previously used by Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in the war with Sudanese government forces – despite RSF denials of involvement in the incident. Photographs showed what […] The post Munition Remnants Pictured at Site of Deadly Chad Strike Match Weapo

Bellingcat 27d ago

How Wildlife Traffickers Are Using Coded Language to Sell Protected Animals On Facebook

A Bellingcat investigation has identified nine Facebook groups with a combined membership of more than 70,000 people, in which coded language has helped illegal wildlife dealers evade bans on the platform for years. Facebook says it prohibits any form of animal trading on its platform. Investigating the operators behind all nine groups, Bellingcat identified six […] The post How Wildlife Trafficke